We show how to construct bounds on counterfactual choice probabilities in semiparametric discrete-choice models. Our procedure is based on cyclic monotonicity, a convex-analytic property of the random utility discrete-choice model. These bounds are useful for typical counterfactual exercises in...

This paper develops identification and estimation methods for dynamic structural models when agents' actions are unobserved by econometricians. We provide conditions under which choice probabilities and latent state transition rules are nonparametrically identified with a continuous state...

We establish nonparametric identification in a class of so-called index models using a novel approach that relies on general topological results. Our proof strategy imposes very weak smoothness conditions on the functions to be identified and does not require any large support conditions on the...

The estimation problem in this paper is motivated by maximum score estimation of preference parameters in the binary choice model under uncertainty in which the decision rule is affected by conditional expectations. The preference parameters are estimated in two stages: we estimate conditional...

Empirical welfare analyses often impose stringent parametric assumptions on individuals' preferences and neglect unobserved preference heterogeneity. In this paper, we develop a framework to conduct individual and social welfare analysis for discrete choice that does not suffer from these...

This paper establishes conditions for nonparametric identification of dynamic optimization models in which agents make both discrete and continuous choices. We consider identification of both the payoff function and the distribution of unobservables. Models of this kind are prevalent in applied...

I show that sharp identified sets in a large class of econometric models can be characterized by solving linear systems of equations. These linear systems determine whether, for a given value of a parameter of interest, there exists an admissible joint distribution of unobservables that can...

Public programs often use statistical profiling to assess the risk that applicants will become long-term dependent on the program. The literature uses linear probability models and (Cox) proportional hazard models to predict duration outcomes. These either focus on one threshold duration or...

We examine a new general class of hazard rate models for survival data, containing a parametric and a nonparametric component. Both can be a mix of a time effect and (possibly time-dependent) marker or covariate effects. A number of well-known models are special cases. In a counting process...

We propose two simple semiparametric estimation methods for ordered response models with an unknown error distribution. The proposed methods do not require users to choose any tuning parameter and they automatically incorporate the monotonicity restriction of the unknown distribution function....