Showing 31 - 40 of 834,885
the cost of capital implied by a capital asset pricing model (CAPM) increases even when better information brings greater … higher expected utility portfolios. This is a technical version of the traditional view in accounting theory that financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013085394
We develop a new model where the dynamic structure of the asset price, after the fundamental value is removed, is subject to two different regimes. One regime reflects the normal period where the asset price divided by the dividend is assumed to follow a mean-reverting process around a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973479
We investigate the factor exposure of smart beta ETFs under model uncertainty using Bayesian variable selection. We find that smart beta ETFs have exposures to several factors, including size, value, momentum, quality, volatility/low beta, and dividend yield. The average return contribution of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899206
Restrictions on the risk-pricing in dynamic term structure models (DTSMs) can unleash the power of no-arbitrage by creating a tighter link between cross-sectional and time-series variation of interest rates. This paper presents a new econometric framework for estimation of affine Gaussian DTSMs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491726
We propose a unified set of distance-based performance metrics that address the power and extreme-error problems inherent in traditional measures for asset-pricing tests. From a Bayesian perspective, the distance metrics coherently incorporate both pricing errors and their standard errors....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011976958
pricing models with smooth ambiguity. Statistical model comparison shows that models with ambiguity, learning and time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780610
We build a novel macro-finance model that combines a semi-structural macroeconomic module with arbitrage-free yield-curve dynamics. We estimate it for the United States and the euro area using a Bayesian approach and jointly infer the real equilibrium interest rate (r*), trend inflation (π*),...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705391
Incorporating arbitrage-free term-structure dynamics into a semi-structural macro-model, we jointly estimate the real equilibrium interest rate (r*), trend inflation, and term premia for the United States and the euro area, using a Bayesian approach. The natural real rate and trend inflation are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012425011
In light of the power problems of statistical tests and undisciplined use of alpha-based statistics to compare models, this paper proposes a unified set of distance-based performance metrics, derived as the square root of the sum of squared alphas and squared standard errors. The Bayesian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012932125
Machine learning (ML) is a novel method that has applications in asset pricing and that fits well within the problem of measurement in economics. Unlike econometrics, ML models are not designed for parameter estimation and inference, but similar to econometrics, they address, and may be better...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013475217