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opposite sign. The following model provides an economic interpretation of the residual structural shock, namely the financial … market shock. This new shock is designed to capture an unanticipated change in the benefit of holding crude oil inventories …
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. Using a structural VAR approach with a combination of sign and zero restrictions, we distinguish between supply and demand … supply shocks are transmitted mainly through the demand side, as both output and interest rates react more strongly to oil … supply shocks that shift the U.S. aggregate demand curve, while the supply side matters in transmitting oil supply shocks to …
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