We find evidence that in the market for euro area sovereign credit risk, arbitrageurs engage in basis trades between credit default swap (CDS) and bond markets only when the CDS-bond basis exceeds a certain threshold. This threshold effect is likely to reflect costs that arbitrageurs face when...

We examine return premia associated with the level, slope, and curvature of the yield curve over time and across countries from a novel perspective by borrowing pricing factors from other asset classes. Measures of value, momentum, and carry, when applied to bonds, provide a rich description of...

This chapter examines the impact the European sovereign debt market crisis had on liquidity and volatility dynamics and their interdependencies in the eurozone government bond market. In particular, we examine the impact across different countries and across different maturity buckets within...

The “no-action” clause, which provides that bondholders may not proceed against an issuer unless certain conditions are met, is included in almost all bond trust instruments. This article compares two approaches in interpreting this clause, the expansive approach and the restrictive...

Local currency government bonds (OFZ bonds) are an important fixed-income instrument in Russia's financial markets. In this paper, based on granular data, we explore the development of the OFZ bond market with a focus on foreign investors. As this fixed-income market has experienced a...

This paper examines the impact of Quantitative Easing (QE) in the Eurosystem on government bond yields and to what extent QE is causing government bond prices to deviate from their fundamental determinants. We apply a novel recursive estimation procedure developed by Phillips et al. (2015) to...

This paper uses new data on the timing of sovereign defaults during 1869-1914 to quantify an informational channel of contagion via shared financial intermediaries. Concerns over reputation incentivized Britain's merchant banks to monitor, advise, and occasionally bail out sovereigns. Default...

Volatility risk, credit risk, value effect, and momentum are major return drivers in the fixed-income universe. This study offers a four-factor pricing model for international government bonds. The model thoroughly explains the variation of government bond returns and covers a range of more than...

We explore the impact of media content on sovereign credit risk. Our measure of media tone is extracted from the Thomson Reuters News Analytics database. As a proxy for sovereign credit risk we consider Credit Default Swap (CDS) spreads, which are decomposed into their risk premium and default...

Excess bond returns in developed markets are predictable using factors like bond momentum, equity momentum and term spread. We show the same factors can also predict emerging government bond returns of debt issued in local currency. An investment strategy based on the three factors delivers 1.2%...