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Институтом Гайдара разработана методика декомпозиции темпов роста российского ВВП на струк- турную, внешнеторговую и конъюнктурную составляющие, основанная на...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011211633
Согласно результатам расчетов, проведенных на основе разработанной Институтом Гайдара методики декомпозиции темпов роста российского ВВП, в 2015 г. все...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011264769
The results of the estimates obtained using the Gaidar Institute method of decomposing Russia’s GDP growth rates show that in 2015 all of the components of economic growth rates will make them negative. Furthermore, the current economic contractin is mostly of structural nature induced by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011266068
Though the global financial crisis hit Russia’s economy harder than many other emerging markets, the situation in both Russia’s real and financial sector stabilized as early as in the first half of 2009. However, the exit strategy chosen by the Russian authorities lacked any specific...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009651510
In the next decade the Russian tax system will face tremendous challenges, due to both objective factors (significant dependence of the Russian economy on foreign trade conjuncture, etc) and a number of decisions in the field of fiscal policy. Viewing these challenges the authors examine three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010607110
This paper deals with 2008-2009 crisis which marked a new stage of Russia’s budgetary policy. Although the budget situation in Russia is presently much better than in the majority of the developed countries, reservation of high dependence on oil proceeds, observed trends in in the structure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010610599
Preliminary data on Russia's economic results of 2015, as well as the current trends in the global energy market, give grounds for revising down possible scenarios for Russia's economy in 2016-2017. For instance, a scenario of yearly average oil prices staying at $35 a barrel in 2016 is now the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998564
Russian Abstract: В работе представлены методика и основные результаты типологизации регионов России. При применении кластерного анализа были выявлены четыре основных...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999090
The results of H1 2017 on the one hand support the previous assumptions that the Russian economy is entering a growth phase, and on the other hand provide evidence of elevated uncertainty regarding the terms and prospects of economic development in the future. We expect that key macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012949165
According to our forecast, the period 2017–2018 will see renewed growth of practically every main socioeconomic activity index, even under the scenario geared to a persistently unfavorable external situation. The economy will be able to show only weak growth at a rate of 2% в per annum....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012980811