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Using a modified DCC-MIDAS specification that allows the long-term correlation component to be a function of multiple … explanatory variables, we show that the stock-bond correlation in the US, the UK, Germany, France, and Italy is mainly driven by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011745369
crisis, or, if a different forecast horizon, or, intraday sampling frequency is employed, respectively. Finally, our evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915984
Modelling and forecasting of asset volatility and covariance is of prime importance in the construction of portfolios. In this paper, we present a generalised multi-factor model that incorporates heteroskedasticity and dependence in the idiosyncratic error terms. We apply this model to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013002082
Many financial decisions such as portfolio allocation, risk management, option pricing and hedge strategies are based on forecasts of the conditional variances, covariances and correlations of financial returns. The paper shows an empirical comparison of several methods to predict one-step-ahead...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895989
In this supplementary material we discuss the results corresponding to the case without short-selling constraints of the empirical application in the paper of Trucíos et al. (2019). These results are given in Tables 9-16
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869690
Using a novel equity lending dataset, this paper is the first to show that expected returns strongly and negatively predict future equity lending fees. In comparing two expected return measures, I find that a rational expected return has stronger predictive power of future short selling activity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013491786
predictability, popular predictors from the literature fail to outperform the simple historical average benchmark forecast in out … model restrictions, forecast combination, diffusion indices, and regime shifts—improve forecasting performance by addressing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351279
We propose a novel and easy-to-implement framework for forecasting correlation risks based on a large set of salient … realized correlation features and the sparsity-encouraging LASSO technique. Considering the universe of S&P 500 stocks, we find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235631
We study the non-linear causal relation between uncertainty-due-to-infectious-diseases and stock-bond correlation. To … this end, we use high-frequency 1-min data to compute daily realized measures of correlation and jumps, and then, we employ … this type of uncertainty on realized stock-bond correlation and jumps. Our findings reveal that uncertainty …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012504028
breaks of different type in the conditional and unconditional correlation components by capturing abrupt regime switches in … the forecasting accuracy of the correlation component models by explicitly accounting for parameter instability over time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291422