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This paper shows that market breadth, i.e. the difference between the average number of rising stocks and the average number of falling stocks within a portfolio, is a robust predictor of future stock returns on market and industry portfolios for 64 countries for the period between 1973 and...
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We perform a test of the inflation hedging properties of commodities on the longest data series ever used for this purpose. We apply wavelet analysis to commodity prices and inflation data from the United Kingdom for the years 1265 through 2017, to detect co-movement across different times and...
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We perform the longest study of long-run reversal in commodity returns. Using a unique dataset of prices of 52 agricultural, industrial, and energy commodities, we examine the price behavior for the years 1265 to 2017. The findings reveal a strong and robust long-run reversal effect. The returns...
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