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We document that stock return momentum strategies earn 20% more per year among firms with strong alignment in their past equity and credit returns than firms with diverging returns across these two markets. Using structural Q-theory, we show information in both equity and credit from the full...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903033
We document that stock return momentum strategies earn 20% more per year among firms with strong alignment in their past equity and credit returns than firms with diverging returns across these two markets. Using structural Q-theory, we show information in both equity and credit from the full...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936072
This article studies the economic factors behind corporate default risk premia in Europe during the period 2006–2010. We employ information embedded in Credit Default Swap (CDS) contracts to quantify expected excess returns from the underlying bonds in market-wide default circumstances. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976109
We propose a method to extract individual firms' risk-neutral return distributions by combining options and credit default swaps (CDS). Options provide information about the central part of the distribution, and CDS anchor the left tail. Jointly, options and CDS span the intermediate part of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011779565
This paper examines the impact of cross-border acquisition announcements on the U.S. bidders’ credit risk. On average, we find a significant increase in bidders’ rating-adjusted credit default swap (CDS) spreads around an acquisition announcement in an emerging market (EM), but no marked...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013309367
This paper studies how the COVID-19 shock affects the CDS spread changes and abnormal stock returns of U.S. firms with different levels of debt rollover risk. We use the COVID-19 crisis as a quasi-natural experiment of adverse cash flow shock that increases the default risk of firms facing an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832300
This paper addresses the relationship between stock markets and credit default swaps (CDS) markets. In particular, I aim to gauge if the co-movement between stock prices and sovereign CDS spreads increases with the deterioration of the credit quality of sovereign debt. The analysis of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010373349
Using Credit Default Swap spreads, we construct a forward-looking, market-implied carbon risk factor and show that carbon risk affects firms' credit spread. The effect is larger for European than North American firms and varies substantially across industries, suggesting the market recognises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013417581
European banks are exposed to a substantial amount of risky sovereign debt. The "missing bank capital" resulting from the zero-risk weight exemption for European banks for European sovereign debt amplifies the co-movement between sovereign CDS spreads and facilitates cross-border...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011764975
This paper examines the relationship between CDS and bond markets in the context of the financial crisis by employing daily data between January 2007 and September 2014. To the best of our knowledge this is the first study that analyses the incorporation of new information for CDSs and bonds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012949170