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application is accurate prediction of financial risk measures, where the area of interest is the left tail of the predictive … introduced to further decrease the numerical standard errors of the Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall estimators. The third …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012057160
Over the last decade, agent-based models in economics have reached a state of maturity that brought the tasks of statistical inference and goodness-of-fit of such models on the agenda of the research community. While most available papers have pursued a frequentist approach adopting either...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012164264
Estimation of agent-based models is currently an intense area of research. Recent contributions have to a large extent resorted to simulation-based methods mostly using some form of simulated method of moments estimation (SMM). There is, however, an entire branch of statistical methods that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011748807
quantile regression, nonlinear IV, GMM, and value-at-risk, models. The LTE's are computed using Markov Chain Monte Carlo …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014077734
-term real risk-free interest rate, real consumption growth, and real dividend growth. Our results indicate that, over short and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094186
estimate long-run risk models in which the conditional variance of consumption growth follows either an autoregressive (AR …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012837343
This chapter provides an overview of solution and estimation techniques for dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models. We cover the foundations of numerical approximation techniques as well as statistical inference and survey the latest developments in the field.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024288
This note presents the R package bayesGARCH (Ardia, 2007) which provides functions for the Bayesian estimation of the parsimonious and effective GARCH(1,1) model with Student-t innovations. The estimation procedure is fully automatic and thus avoids the tedious task of tuning a MCMC sampling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011380176
We propose a generic Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to speed up computations for datasets with many observations. A key feature of our approach is the use of the highly efficient difference estimator from the survey sampling literature to estimate the log-likelihood accurately using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011300365
Following Lancaster (2002), we propose a strategy to solve the incidental parameter problem. The method is demonstrated under a simple panel Poisson count model. We also extend the strategy to accomodate cases when information orthogonality is unavailable, such as the linear AR(p) panel model....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003817215