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' earnings forecasts. We show that measures of prior consensus and individual analyst forecast pessimism are predictive of both … with a relatively high probability of forecast pessimism experience significantly higher announcement returns than those … difficulty investors have in identifying differences in expected forecast pessimism. Overall, we conclude that market prices do …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937538
accurate earnings forecasts than individual analysts and that the stock market reacts more strongly to forecast revisions … show that team size and team member ability are significantly associated with forecast accuracy. Moreover, using detailed … analyst background information from LinkedIn, we find that forecast accuracy is positively associated with team diversity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012052460
this bundling property and show that bundling has increased steadily over time. We provide field evidence that the practice … is a cost-saving measure, a natural byproduct of analysts focusing on thematic research, and a reflection of forecast … forecast bundling has important implications for the properties of analysts' forecasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902228
analyst forecasts. We focus on rounding as arguably the most salient forecast feature. We find that while rounding is only … marginally associated with forecast accuracy, investors attribute to it undue significance. Investors view rounding as distinctly … informative to other analyst characteristics that determine forecast accuracy and the likelihood of rounding. Unlike previous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058142
This study examines the stock-price reactions to analyst forecast revisions around earnings announcements to test … suggests that prior studies' finding of weaker (stronger) stock-price responses to forecast revisions in the period immediately …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013059828
While a large literature has examined analysts’ earnings forecasts or stock recommendations in isolation, there is little research on the effectiveness with which analysts translate their earnings forecasts into recommendations (referred to as translational effectiveness). This study provides...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014224426
We address whether analysts bias earnings forecast revisions and convey the bias using forecast revision consistency, i ….e., the extent to which analyst reports with earnings forecast revisions include stock recommendation and target price … revisions consistent in sign with the earnings forecast revisions, the sign of which is the sign of earnings forecast revision …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014359306
We document an improvement in analysts’ forecast accuracy following increased sector ETF ownership. We identify a …, analysts have an opportunity to re-optimize their attention to firm-specific information and improve forecast accuracy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351350
We examine the relation between star analyst rankings and analysts’ forecast performance. To strengthen identification … Contest in China. We find that the reduction in rankings-related incentives has a positive impact on analysts’ forecast … rankings are largely popularity contests that induce analysts to allocate time and effort to attention grabbing and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014361919
The state of the art in the analyst forecasting literature is that analyst earnings forecast ability is only firm … absence of a “spillover” effect, i.e., investors do not consider an analyst's earnings forecast ability regarding firm k when … reacting to his earnings forecast revision for firm j. We re-examine the issue of whether or not earnings forecast ability is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013070639