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The predictive power of Cumulative Prospect Theory (CPT) and Expected Utility Theory (EUT) is typically compared using decisions from description (DfD), wherein lotteries' outcome values and probabilities are explicitly stated. In decisions from experience (DfE), individuals sample (without...
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In many sports contests, the equilibrium requires players to randomize across repeated rounds, i.e., exhibit no temporal predictability. Such sports data present a window into the (in)efficiency of random sequence generation in a natural competitive environment, where the decision makers (tennis...
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We test empirically the strategic counterpart of the Adaptive Decision Maker hypothesis (Payne et al., 1993), which states that decision makers adapt their attention and decision rules to time pressure in predictable ways. For twenty-nine normal form games, we test whether players adapt to...
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For decisions in the wild, time is of the essence. Available decision time is often cut short through natural or artificial constraints, or is impinged upon by the opportunity cost of time. Experimental economists have only recently begun to conduct experiments with time constraints and to...
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Heuristics are all around us, both in the real world and the literature. There are many of them and there are many — too many — definitions of them. In this chapter we focus on the history of fast and frugal heuristics, as sketched out comprehensively in Gigerenzer, Todd, & the ABC Research...
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I examine the dynamics of confirmed case (and death) growth rates conditional on different levels of severity in implemented NPIs, the mobility of citizens and other non restrictive policies. To account for the endogeneity of many of these variables, and the possibility of correlated latent...
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The emergence of heuristics, sophisticated behavior—such as higher levels of Theory of Mind—and substantive rationality in strategic situations can be studied using evolutionary game theory to jointly account for the interactions between players and their environments. Research thus far has...
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