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This paper investigates the similarities between the economy of 1912 Mount Lebanon on the eve of the famine of 1916 and the economy of 2004 Lebanon that set the stage for the major economic and social crisis of 2019. A simple general equilibrium simulation shows that, as long as the Lebanese...
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A growing body of empirical evidence suggests that a positive technology shock leads to a temporary decline in … sufficiently strong, a technology shock also has a negative effect on output in the short run …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217865
of imposing a minimal set of theoretical restrictions on the model to be tested. A monetary policy shock is identified … same specification, without imposing one identification mechanism a priori. The correct measure of a monetary policy shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014128206
of imposing a minimal set of theoretical restrictions on the model to be tested. A monetary policy shock is identified … same specification, without imposing one identification mechanism a priori. The correct measure of a monetary policy shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014127271
This paper explores the relevance of the Divisia monetary aggregate in Taiwan over the period January, 1985 through to June, 2016. We apply a block recursive structural Vector Autoregressive (VAR) approach that is adapted to a small open economy by adding the New Taiwan Dollar/US Dollar exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014120065
favorable shock to global demand and supply has a strong and positive effect on emerging markets, whereas an unanticipated rise … global shocks. In particular, the demand shock is the most critical, explaining roughly 30% of the fluctuation in output …, explaining about 20% respectively, whereas the supply shock is closely associated with the medium-to-long-term variation …
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