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Crowdsourcing — when a task normally performed by employees is outsourced to a large network of people via an open call — is making inroads into the investment research industry. We shed light on this new phenomenon by examining the value of crowdsourced earnings forecasts. Our sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007142
corporate governance on a firms' information environment, specifically on analysts forecast accuracy, dispersion, precision of … forecast accuracy, only when voluntary disclosure is constant over time. Analysts forecast dispersion decreases when more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007705
We find that individual analysts following the same firm and quarter forecast different underlying street performance … metrics. Relative to analysts whose street forecast is based on generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), analysts who … forecast street earnings using a non-GAAP performance metric identify less persistent GAAP earnings and issue more accurate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853409
We propose a novel method to forecast corporate earnings, which combines the accuracy of analysts' forecasts with the … their long-term performance. Our model outperforms the most popular methods from the literature in terms of forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854157
I/B/E/S is a common source of analyst earnings forecast data, and the reliability of these data is important for … the effects of analyst experience and brokerage size on earnings forecast accuracy change by over 30 percent when we use … provide guidance to researchers using I/B/E/S for analyst earnings forecast data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855468
In this paper we examine the time-series and cross-sectional volatility in analyst forecasts. We derive a bound on the degree of variation in forecasts, analogous to the variance bound literature in finance, and document the frequency and circumstances surrounding violations of this bound. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856368
analysts' forecast revisions and prior stock price changes. We validate this measure by examining whether analysts with lower …. We find that the stock price impacts of forecast revisions issued by analysts with higher PPI are larger than those … of directors rely more on analysts' forecast errors in their CEO turnover decisions when firms are followed by analysts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857457
. This paper describes the phenomenon of management forecast revisions and examines their long-run effects on analyst …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013048797
analyst forecasts. We focus on rounding as arguably the most salient forecast feature. We find that while rounding is only … marginally associated with forecast accuracy, investors attribute to it undue significance. Investors view rounding as distinctly … informative to other analyst characteristics that determine forecast accuracy and the likelihood of rounding. Unlike previous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058142
We investigate whether the well-known positive association between past stock returns and analysts' earnings forecast … (EMH), we find that investors discount earnings forecast revisions by analysts who treat winners and losers differently …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018621