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We investigate whether banks rely on the information content in equity analysts' annual earnings forecasts when assessing the risk of potential borrowers. While a long literature finds that analysts provide useful information to market participants, it is not clear that banks, which have access...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900435
analyst forecast revisions are predictable and document an implementable strategy for investors. Consistent with investors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901669
changes in the SG&A ratio are informative about future earnings, analyst forecast revisions, and stock returns under these … future earnings. I also find that analysts do not impound all of the information contained in the signals into their forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903060
test hypotheses on factors that determine analyst attention and how analyst attention affects forecast accuracy. I … firms with earnings that are difficult to forecast, suggesting that analysts suffer from a limited attention constraint …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910348
We separate analyst forecast revisions into components representing industry-wide and firm-specific news. Using the … relation between analyst forecast revisions and upcoming news to estimate how completely analysts incorporate their private …-specific news in their forecasts, particularly when the underlying news is bad. Post-forecast-revision drift is strongly associated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892975
earnings. As analysts can save time and costs when disclosure quality is higher, their earnings forecast error and optimism … SZSE, and find that higher disclosure quality improves analysts' forecast accuracy, alleviates forecast optimism, and … reduces forecast dispersion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893838
provisions and similar non-adopters. In particular, we examine financial analyst following, financial analyst forecast accuracy …, and financial analyst forecast optimistic bias. We find that firms that adopt clawback provisions are followed by more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895981
Earnings expectation aggregates all available information. However, investors with limited attention are unlikely to behave in such rational fashions. For example, salient information is overweighed in the expectation. This bias could be exploited by sophisticated market participants like...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897596
We apply state-of-the-art Bayesian machine learning to test whether we can extract valuable information from analysts' recommendations of stock performance. We use a probabilistic model for independent Bayesian classifier combination that has been successfully applied in both the physical and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897756
' earnings forecasts. We show that measures of prior consensus and individual analyst forecast pessimism are predictive of both … with a relatively high probability of forecast pessimism experience significantly higher announcement returns than those … difficulty investors have in identifying differences in expected forecast pessimism. Overall, we conclude that market prices do …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937538