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the central bank should prioritize removing consumption volatility (a targeting of risk premia) over filling the gap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213978
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003740040
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This paper shows that (i) fluctuations driven by self-fulfilling expectations can negatively affect long-run growth and (ii) the welfare gain from further stabilizing the U.S. economy can be several orders larger than that calculated by Lucas (1987) because policies designed to reduce...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012729186
rate by amplifying the volatility of the economy; and 3) the welfare gain of stabilization policy can be enormous (e.g., as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014027095
What is the source of interest rate volatility? Why do low interest rates precede business cycle booms? Most observers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101898
We document strong U.S. stock and bond return predictability from several macroeconomic volatility series before 1982 … incorporating monetary policy and shocks with time-varying volatility. The predictability decline is consistent with changes in both … volatility, more persistent shocks with reduced volatility explain the lower predictability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968288
in EUR swap yields and their volatility. The results of the estimated models of EUR swap yields of different maturity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014438498
We revisit a traditional topic in monetary economics: the relationship between asset prices and monetary policy. We study a model in which money helps facilitate trade in decentralized markets, as in Lagos andWright (2005), and real assets are traded in an over-the-counter (OTC) market, as in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009681232
The basic asset pricing equation is adapted to include the effects of unemployment, consumers' expectations, the price level and money supply on money market rates and government bond yields. Expected consumption growth is modelled using European unemployment figures and Eurostat Consumer...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133488