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This study assesses the impact of the quality of bankruptcy data on the estimation and evaluation of bankruptcy prediction models. To meet this objective, we develop a systematic methodology to obtain bankruptcy information from corporate news releases and public sources. Then, applying this...
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It is well known that information arrival has an impact on prices volatility, and trading volume in financial markets (see e.g., Goodhart and O'Hara 1997). Scheduled macroeconomic announcements, such as monthly employment figures, consumer prices, or building permits, stand out from the steady...
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The intraday response of T‐bond futures prices to surprises in headline figures of U.S. macroeconomic reports is investigated. Analyzing the time series properties and the information content of the macroeconomic news flow, the answer to the question, “What determines the relative price...
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This study investigates why financial markets react to the release of some economic indicators while ignoring others with similar informational content. Based on a Bayesian learning model, we show that the market impact of an economic indicator depends crucially on its early availability. The...
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