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This study develops a stylised DSGE model, that departs in one aspect: it replaces the general equilibrium approach by disequilibrium economics. In this way, richer macroeconomic adjustment dynamics result, as it is not necessary to assume that goods and labour markets continuously clear. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096548
The paper tests the hypothesis that the post-Korean War business cycles of the U.S. economy can be explained b y a simple inventory cycle model b ased on the work of Lloyd Metzler. The hypothesis was found to be compatible with the data
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097194
This paper investigates the instability of capitalism defined as a condition under which capitalism creates inflation, unemployment, and business cycles. Great economists such as Marx, Veblen, and Schumpeter have examined this problem, concluding that capitalist instability will transform...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081321
Evidences from structural VAR show that new business formation positively co-moves with output under news shocks. The Jaimovich-Rebelo model augmented with firm dynamics can explain the empirical findings. The key assumption is endogenous survival rates for new entrants
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082785
The research and development (R&D) sector is considered one of the main driving forces of sustainable growth in the long run. The sector, however, also shows excessive volatility which raises interesting questions regarding the sources of this volatility as well as the nature of the relation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066265
The conventional version of Austrian business cycle theory focuses on a temporary imbalance between natural and monetary rates of interest. When, because of the role of monetary authorities in defining the monetary rate, the two values are in a situation of imbalance, the resulting expansion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015512
Ludwig von Mises considered immediate overconsumption essential to the Austrian Business Cycle Theory (ABCT); Friedrich Hayek never agreed. Examining this disagreement, Roger Garrison concluded that Hayek's exposition of ABCT (a stages-of-production framing without immediate overconsumption)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964246
I consider a real-business cycle, DSGE model where consumption is a function of the present discounted value of wage and capital income. The agent is uncertain if these income variables are stationary or non-stationary and puts positive probability on both representations. The agent uses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000749
This article quantifies the epidemiology of media narratives relevant to business cycles in the US, Japan, and Europe (euro area). We do so by first constructing daily business cycle indexes computed on the basis of the news topics the media writes about. At a broad level, the most influential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926524
We develop a production based asset pricing model with financially constrained firms to explain the observed high asset price volatility. Investment opportunities are scarce and firms face two shocks: classic productivity shocks and financial shocks that affect the tightness of the financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039040