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risk to obtain plausible decompositions of forward curves. The forecasts of interest rates and exchange rates from the … international term and foreign exchange risk premia as well as expected exchange rate changes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009492377
In this paper, we examine the forecasting ability of an affine term structure framework that jointly models the markets for Treasuries, inflation-protected securities, inflation derivatives, and oil future prices based on no-arbitrage restrictions across these markets. On the methodological...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011421729
After the credit and liquidity crisis started in summer 2007 the market has recognized that multiple yield curves are required for estimation of both discount and FRA rates with dfferent tenors (e.g. Overnight, Libor 3 months, etc.), consistently with the large basis spreads and the wide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013086652
We propose a general framework for efficient pricing via a Partial Differential Equation (PDE) approach of cross-currency interest rate derivatives under the Hull-White model. In particular, we focus on pricing long-dated foreign exchange (FX) interest rate hybrids, namely Power Reverse Dual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150362
As it can be seen from the literature the affine yield class of the term structure is very important for obtaining the fundamental properties of the zero-coupon bond yield. Therefore any new results about the properties the affine yield class are very desirable. The present paper is devoted to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155146
It is well known that the Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) stochastic model to study the term structure of interest rates, as introduced in 1985, is inadequate for modelling the current market environment with negative short interest rates. Moreover, the diffusion term in the rate dynamics goes to zero...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955552
The aim of this paper is to propose a new methodology that allows forecasting, through Vasicek and CIR models, of future expected interest rates (for each maturity) based on rolling windows from observed financial market data. The novelty, apart from the use of those models not for pricing but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895022
No-arbitrage dynamic term structure models (DTSMs) have regularly been used to estimate interest rate expectations and term premia, but are beset by an identification problem that results in inaccurate estimates. I propose the augmentation of DTSMs with overnight indexed swap (OIS) rates to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012897567
riskless rates converge to the natural rate of interest.The first yield curve model is based upon risk rather than time. The … riskless rate is the incremental yield for an infinitesimal amount of risk and is computed directly from bond yields. Resulting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898619
No-arbitrage dynamic term structure models (DTSMs) have regularly been used to estimate interest rate expectations and term premia, but are beset by empirical challenges. I propose augmenting DTSMs with overnight indexed swap (OIS) rates to better estimate the decomposition along the term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826711