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71
Interest Rates Forecasting : Between Hull and White and the CIR#. How to Make a Single Factor Model Work
Orlando, Giuseppe
;
Bufalo, Michele
-
2021
In this work we present our findings of the so‐called CIR#, which is a modified version of the Cox, Ingersoll & Ross (CIR) model, turned into a forecasting tool for any term structure. The main feature of the CIR# model is its ability to cope with negative interest rates, cluster volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227556
Saved in:
72
Macroeconomic
Risk
Revisited : Term Structure of
Risk
Premia and Long Run
Risk
in a Two-State Economy with Epstein-Zin Preferences
Golosov, Edward
-
2017
Under what conditions can the term structure of
risk
premia be downward sloping, as reported in a number of recent … empirical studies? I study fixed income and equity
risk
premium term structures and the long run
risk
in a continuous time Lucas …-Zin-Weil preferences. I derive closed form solutions for the term structures of the
risk
premia of finite maturity bonds, the equity market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941694
Saved in:
73
Asset Pricing Implications of Volatility Term Structure
Risk
Xie, Chen
-
2014
VIX slope
risk
is approximately 2.5% annually, statistically significant and cannot be explained by other common factors …, such as the market excess return, size, book-to-market, momentum, liquidity, market volatility, and the variance
risk
…
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044719
Saved in:
74
Stochastic Areas of Diffusions and Applications in
Risk
Theory
Cui, Zhenyu
-
2013
model of default (Yildirim 2006), the Omega
risk
model of bankruptcy in
risk
analysis (Gerber, Shiu and Yang 2012), and a … diffusion
risk
model with surplus-dependent tax (Albrecher and Hipp 2007, Li, Tang and Zhou 2013) …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013072263
Saved in:
75
Quantile Hedging in a Semi-Static Market with Model Uncertainty
Bayraktar, Erhan
-
2017
With model uncertainty characterized by a convex, possibly non-dominated set of probability measures, the investor minimizes the cost of hedging a path dependent contingent claim with given expected success ratio, in a discrete-time, semi-static market of stocks and options. Based on duality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972859
Saved in:
76
Sensitivity-Based Bond Portfolio Immunization with Nonparametric Term Structure Models
Lapshin, Victor
-
2022
The traditional approach to bond portfolio immunization usually assumes that the possible future changes of the term structure of interest rates lie within a suitable parametric class of functions. The quantities of interest are the sensitivities of the portfolio value with respect to these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403432
Saved in:
77
Risks in macroeconomic fundamentals and excess bond returns predictability
De Rezende, Rafael B.
-
2015
-
February 2015
I provide evidence that risks in macroeconomic fundamentals contain valuable information about bond
risk
premia. I … extract factors from a set of quantile-based
risk
measures estimated for US macroeconomic variables and document that they … unemployment rate. In addition, factors provide information about bond
risk
premia variation that is largely unrelated to that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010478516
Saved in:
78
Restrictions on
risk
prices in dynamic term structure models
Bauer, Michael D.
-
2015
Restrictions on the
risk
-pricing in dynamic term structure models (DTSMs) can unleash the power of no-arbitrage by … econometric framework for estimation of affine Gaussian DTSMs under restrictions on
risk
prices, which addresses the issues of a … the US Treasury yield curve. The data strongly favor tight restrictions on
risk
pricing: only level
risk
is priced, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491726
Saved in:
79
Real
Risk
, Inflation
Risk
, and the Term Structure
Evans, Martin D.D.
-
2011
dynamics of the
risk
premia - features that are all present in the data. I use the model to assess how accurately the term …-varying
risk
premia make it very hard to accurately track changes in the expected path of real or nominal yields over horizons of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131069
Saved in:
80
Macro Risks and the Term Structure of Interest Rates
Bekaert, Geert
-
2019
risks significantly contribute to the variation of yields and
risk
premiums for nominal bonds. While overall bond
risk
… premiums are counter-cyclical, an increase in aggregate demand variance significantly lowers
risk
premiums. Macro risks also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899126
Saved in:
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