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In this paper, by adopting a quasi-Lamperti transform unitizing the process’ diffusion matrix at the initial time, we provide a new explicit recursive formula to compute the expansion coefficients for the pathwise Taylor expansion method of Li (2013). The quasi-Lamperti transform also allows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247104
We study the statistical properties of heterogeneous agent models. Using a Bewley-Hugget-Aiyagari model we compute the density function of wealth and income and use it for likelihood inference. We study the finite sample properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) using Monte Carlo...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826224
We present an easily implemented, fast, and accurate method for approximating extreme quantiles of compound loss distributions (frequency and severity) as are commonly used in insurance and operational risk capital models. The Interpolated Single Loss Approximation (ISLA) of Opdyke (2014) is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967848
In this paper, we study the statistical properties of heterogeneous agent models with incomplete markets. Using a Bewley-Hugget-Aiyagari model we compute the equilibrium density function of wealth and show how it can be used for likelihood inference. We investigate the identifiability of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853321
This paper shows that a small-time Hermite expansion is feasible for multivariate diffusions. By introducing an innovative quasi-Lamperti transform, which unitizes the diffusion matrix at the initial time, we derive explicit recursive formulas for the expansion coefficients of transition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848735
Having efficient and accurate samplers for simulating the posterior distribution is crucial for Bayesian analysis. We develop a generic posterior simulator called the "dynamic striated Metropolis-Hastings (DSMH)" sampler. Grounded in the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm, it draws its strengths from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010434021
The present article deals with intra-horizon risk in models with jumps. Our general understanding of intra-horizon risk is along the lines of the approach taken in [BRSW04], [Ro08], [BMK09], [BP10], and [LV19]. In particular, we believe that quantifying market risk by strictly relying on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012179511
It is well-known in empirical nance that virtually all asset returns, whether monthly, daily, or intraday, are heavy-tailed and, particularly for stock returns, are mildly but often signi cantly negatively skewed. However, the tail indices, or maximally existing moments of the returns, can di er...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003980003
The estimation of multivariate GARCH models remains a challenging task, even in modern computer environments. This manuscript shows how Independent Component Analysis can be used to estimate the Generalized Orthogonal GARCH model in a fraction of the time otherwise required. The proposed method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003961455
We introduce a Combined Density Nowcasting (CDN) approach to Dynamic Factor Models (DFM) that in a coherent way accounts for time-varying uncertainty of several model and data features in order to provide more accurate and complete density nowcasts. The combination weights are latent random...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010465155