Michel, Jean-Sébastien; Pandes, J. Ari - Centre Interuniversitaire sur le Risque, les Politiques … - 2013
This paper finds that about one-quarter of analyst forecast dispersion and one-half of the dispersion-return relationship between 1985 and 2012 are explained by analyst overconfidence. In particular, the firm’s analyst overconfidence mean and analyst overconfidence dispersion are the two most...