Well-intended preannounced carbon mitigation policies can lead to adverse impacts such as the green paradox. This paper examines conditions impacting the prevalence of this phenomenon, when suppliers of carbon-free energy, similarly to carbon suppliers, can anticipate the implementation of...

We propose a model to reconcile the theory of inter-temporal non-renewable resource depletion with well-known stylized facts concerning the exploitation of exhaustible resources such as oil. Our approach introduces geological constraints into a Hotelling type extraction-exploration model. We...

A model of global oil production is applied to study cartelization by OPEC countries. We define a measure for the degree of cooperation, analogous to the market conduct parameter of Cyert et al., 1973, Geroski et al., 1987, Lofaro, 1999, and Symeonidis, 2000. This parameter is used to assess the...

Geological constraints are considered in the context of a Hotelling type extraction-exploration model for an exhaustible resource. It is shown that such constraints, in combination with initially small reserves and strictly convex exploration costs, can coherently explain bellshaped peaks in...

We propose a model to reconcile the theory of inter-temporal non-renewable resource depletion with well-known stylized facts concerning the exploitation of exhaustible resources such as oil. Our approach introduces geological constraints into a Hotelling type extraction-exploration model. We...

This article compares the advantages and limits of the two main methods used in the literature to model oil production: the technical Hubbert approach and the economic Hotelling approach. We argue that the technical approach can be nested in the economic approach by showing that a technical or...

This article extends one of the primary models used for calculating the Social Cost of Carbon (SCC), DICE, to account for uncertainty regarding economic damages per additional warming degree and uncertainty over the temperature response from doubling atmospheric CO2. Coupled with consumption...

There are two dimensions to the scarcity of exhaustible resources: physical and economic. While there is general consensus that oil has grown physically scarce overtime, it is less clear whether the same can be said of economic scarcity. We develop a procedure based on evaluating movements in...

An empirical test for the theory of exhaustible resources requires an estimate of the extraction rent, that generally is not observable. This paper introduces a model of exploratory and developmental oil-well drilling, with geological constraints that cap the speed of pumping oil out of the...

Policy makers reformed the European Union (EU) Emission Trading System (ETS) to address low prices and price volatility. They reduced the cap and strengthened the Market Stability Reserve (MSR). The effectiveness of these reforms hinges on path dependency of emission and abatement technology....