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Stock momentum, long-term reversal, and other past return characteristics that predict future returns also predict future realized betas, suggesting these characteristics capture time-varying risk compensation. We formalize this argument with a conditional factor pricing model. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832984
In this note we revisit the 2011 and 2013 papers of Blitz, Huij, and Martens (BHM2011), and Blitz, Huij, Lansdorp, and Verbeek (BHLV2013) in which momentum and reversal strategies on residual returns are proposed. Our results indicate that the main findings of these studies, that residual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012961484
To capture the well documented time series momentum and reversal in asset price, we develop a continuous-time asset price model, derive the optimal investment strategy theoretically, and test the strategy empirically. We show that, by combining market fundamentals and timing opportunity with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962880
This paper investigates whether short-term momentum and long-term reversal may emerge from the wealth reallocation process taking place in speculative markets. We assume that there are two classes of investors who trade long-lived assets by holding constantly rebalanced portfolios based on their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927582
Different momentum investors use different time horizons, or formation periods, to evaluate prior stock performance. We show that this heterogeneity has important consequences on asset returns. We provide evidence that heightened trading pressure due to the concurrence of the heterogeneous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012839614
We examine whether time-variation in the profitability of momentum strategies is related to variation in macroeconomic conditions. We find reliable evidence that the momentum strategy exposes investors to greater downside risk. Momentum strategies deliver economically large and statistically...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906108
This study proposes a new ranking criterion for constructing momentum portfolios, namely, risk-adjusted cross-sectional momentum. We propose the combination of traditional cross-sectional momentum strategies with different volatility timing strategies in the form of the Sharpe ratio. Then, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969172
We demonstrate that firm-specific momentum profits are predictable across a wide range of international equity markets when combining information given in a multitude of stock characteristics. This predictor is comparatively simple to compute and can yield significant positive out-of-sample...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851487
Time series momentum (TSM) refers to the predictability of the past 12-month return on the next one-month return and is the focus of several recent influential studies. This paper shows that asset-by-asset time series regressions reveal little evidence of TSM, both in- and out-of-sample. While...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852463
This paper seeks to uncover the drivers of the idiosyncratic momentum anomaly. We show that: (I) idiosyncratic momentum is a distinct phenomenon that exists next to conventional momentum and is not explained by it; (ii) idiosyncratic momentum is priced in the cross-section of stock returns after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854431