A flexible framework for the analysis of tail events is proposed. The framework contains tail moment measures that allow for Expected Shortfall (ES) estimation. Connecting the implied tail thickness of a family of distributions with the quantile and expectile estimation, a platform for risk...

The aim of this manuscript is to provide the mathematical and statistical foundations of actuarial learning. This is key to most actuarial tasks like insurance pricing, product development, claims reserving and risk management. The basic approach to these tasks is regression modeling. This...

The English version of this paper can be found at http://ssrn.com/abstract=3858991Spanish Abstract: En el último año, el aumento del uso de instrumentos derivados, aunado a las importantes pérdidas que han reportado empresas e instituciones financieras, han hecho saltar las alarmas sobre el...

La versión española de este artículo se puede encontrar en: http://ssrn.com/abstract=3858999During the last years, there has been an increase in the use of derivative instruments, in addition to significant losses reported by companies and financial institutions, putting the appropriate use...

Asset market liquidity risk is a significant and perplexing subject and though the term market liquidity risk is used quite chronically in academic literature it lacks an unambiguous definition, let alone understanding of the proposed risk measures. To this end, this paper presents a review of...

This research study analyses, from a fund manager’s perspective, the performance of liquidity adjusted risk modeling in obtaining optimal and coherent economic capital structures, subject to meaningful operational and financial constraints as specified by the fund manager. Specifically, the...

This paper analyzes the relationship between financial development, energy consumption, and economic growth in twenty-one (21) sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries by using the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) framework during the period 1990Q1-2014Q4. First, the study reveals...

This study analyzes the consistency between analysts’ stock views and their revisions of earnings forecasts, price targets, and recommendations. A hidden Markov model (HMM) is employed to extract analysts’ views. The results show that consistent revisions (i.e., upgrades accompanied by...

The experience of past financial market turmoil suggests that in addition to eroding investor wealth, the severe consequences of rare extreme market events can spillover and impair the broader real economies. In this context, this paper is an evaluation of the methodological and empirical...