Modeling and simulation has become a well-established approach to efficiently back financial risk management applications. One major challenge though, remains the task of bringing together the domain-specific knowshy;ledge with the technical skills required for the implementation. This possibly...

Russian Abstract: В работе прослежена эволюция подходов к оценке кредитоспособности и рейтингования экономических субъектов, рассмотрены особенности регулирования...

We describe an empirical approach to generating plausible historically‐based interest rate shocks, which can be applied to any market environment and readily linked to movements in other key risk factors. Our approach is based upon yield curve parameterization and requires a parsimonious yet...

Using multivariate cointegration and Innovation Accounting Methods, this paper examines the impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) on stock market development in Ghana. The paper finds long-run relationship between FDI and stock market development in Ghana. Using impulse responses and...

To avert the impending global Cyber-Finance Insurance Crisis based upon large-scale commercial reliance upon quantitative models with inherent model risks, tail risks, and systemic risks in current form, this post-doctoral thesis makes the following key contributions: Develops the first known...

This paper presents an early warning system as a set of multi-period forecasts of indicators of tail real and financial risks obtained using a large database of monthly U.S. data for the period 1972:1-2014:12 Pseudo-real time forecasts are generated from: (a) sets of autoregressive and...

In finance, decision making and choice requires that we assume that asset prices tend to trend. This assumption also logically enables us to construct exits to limit losses and protect capital. But investors have good reason to be uneasy regarding the potential for significant loss when using a...

The recent analytical closed-form result ('http://ssrn.com/abstract=2549033' http://ssrn.com/abstract=2549033) discovered by Market Memory Trading L.L.C. (“MMT”) for the probability density function of the European style options with stochastic volatility, considered within the Heston model,...

The first ever explicit formulation of the concept of the option's probability density functions has been introduced in our publications “Breakthrough in Understanding Derivatives and Option Based Hedging - Marginal and Joint Probability Density Functions of Vanilla Options - True...