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frequency volatilities and correlations ; Dynamic conditional correlation ; Spline-GARCH ; Idiosyncratic volatility ; Long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003821063
predict future returns, there is a significant relation between volatility spreads and expected stock returns. Portfolio level … the realized-implied volatility spread that can be viewed as a proxy for volatility risk. The results also provide … evidence for a significantly positive link between expected returns and the call-put options' implied volatility spread that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116882
We study whether option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, contains information about future returns, especially the negative ones. Our tail loss measure predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100653
while adjusting for the volatility risk premium. Relative model performance does not change during the global financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915984
volatility of Borsa Istanbul 100 Index (BIST-100). Sample data cover the period from January 2008 to December 2017. The main … nonlinear volatility models (symmetric and asymmetric Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity [GARCH …]-type models) were used to model and estimate BIST-100 volatility in response to political news. The findings of the paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012131511
We show that the call-put implied volatility spread (IVS) outperforms many well-known predictors of the U.S. equity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822891
This paper investigates the predictive ability of international volatility risk for the daily aggregate Chinese stock … market returns. We employ the innovations in implied volatility indices of seven major international markets as our … international volatility risk proxies. We find that international volatility risks are negatively associated with contemporaneous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972144
We examine the predictive effect of sentiment on the cross-section of stock returns across different economic states. The degree of mispricing and the subsequent price correction can be different between economic expansion and recession because of the limits of arbitrage and short sale...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116309
power of beta, total volatility, and idiosyncratic volatility. The cheapness variable book-to-market ratio is the most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107852
conditional Sharpe ratio, the latter of which incorporates time-varying volatility in the predictive regression framework …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013064939