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in specific correlation dynamics. A strong implication emerges: during the period under research, and from a different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407524
and the tests the volatility, as a factor, that may cause the correlations to change over time. Linear regression … estimates of Asymmetric Dynamic Conditional Correlation Model, which allows correlations to change, have been used to test if … the volatilities of individual markets or their relative volatility causes the change in correlations.The results suggest …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152875
I decompose the expected return difference between cross-asset time series momentum and time series momentum into market timing and risk premium components, and show that market timing accounts for 71–79% of the difference. I thus show that two recent critiques of time series momentum do not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213175
volume or volatility are associated with the strongest intraday time-series momentum dynamics. Based on this, we propose an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254125
-term reversal strategies. The performance results are robust with respect to transaction costs and other real world frictions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236192
based on averages of past futures returns, normalized by their volatility. We test these strategies on a universe of 64 … asset class, realized futures volatility is contemporaneously negatively related to the Fama and French (1987) market (MKT … in trading costs. We construct measures of momentum-specific volatility, both within and across asset classes, and show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011293745
I first show that taking moving averages of the term spread, the dividend yield, and the Shiller’s CAPE, significantly increases their ability to predict one month and 12-month forward equity market excess returns, and the state of the business cycle. Dividend yield, CAPE and term spread are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013245419
High momentum returns cannot be explained by risk factors, but they are negatively skewed and subject to occasional severe crashes. I explore the timing of momentum crashes and show that momentum strategies tend to crash in 1-3 months after the local stock market plunge. Next, I propose a simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854460
This paper investigates the merits of high-frequency intraday data when forming minimum variance portfolios and minimum tracking error portfolios with daily rebalancing from the individual constituents of the S&P 100 index. We focus on the issue of determining the optimal sampling frequency,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346450
models. We show that HF-based predictions yield a significantly lower portfolio volatility than methods employing daily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009714536