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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011687342
We compare more than 1000 different volatility models in terms of their fit to the historical ISE-100 Index data and … for modeling the ISE-100 return volatility. The t-distribution seems to characterize the distribution of the heavy tailed … model to the historical ISE-100 return data indicates that the return volatility reacts to bad news 24% more than they react …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159436
By extending and reviewing determinants of the implied volatility in the context of high frequency (HF) trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012932062
We propose a novel factor model for option returns. Option exposures are estimated nonparametrically and factor risk premia can vary nonlinearly with states. The model is estimated using regressions, with minimal assumptions on factor and option return dynamics. Using index options, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213854
check the properties of option pricing models with different assumptions concerning the volatility process (historical … pricing and to check the robustness of our results. The Black model with implied volatility (BIV) comes as the best model and … the realized volatility model as the worst one. Moreover, we do not see any advantage of much complex and time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125708
dynamics of CDS volatility spillover effects surrounding the UK's EU membership referendum commonly known as "Brexit". Using a … the underlined CDS. In particular, we find that UK, Italy and Spain are the "net volatility transmitters", while France … and Germany seem the "net volatility receivers". Our findings may help in formulating appropriate regulatory policies and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012259768
The paper investigates the effects of oil price shocks on stock market volatility in Europe by focusing on three … measures of volatility, i.e. the conditional, the realised and the implied volatility. The findings suggest that supply …-side shocks and oil specific demand shocks do not affect volatility, whereas, oil price changes due to aggregate demand shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403135
Asian VaR and coherent Asian Expected Shortfall are an improvement over current methods, measuring more accurately financial portfolio market and liquidity risks. Risk to LIQUIDATION</I> means every day a portion of portfolio assets-i (i = 1 to H<sub>i</sub>) is unwound; thus the final unwind price is the sum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965048
This paper studies the intraday volatility of European government bonds under the framework of the multiplicative … component GARCH model (Engle and Sokalska, 2012). Intraday return volatility is specified as the product of daily volatility … debt crisis. We observe large transitory intraday volatility often due to illiquidity effects and outliers. We suggest a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900298
We show that the compensation for rare events accounts for a large fraction of the average equity and variance risk premia. Exploiting the special structure of the jump tails and the pricing thereof we identify and estimate a new Investor Fears index. The index suggests both large and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133667