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A set of multivariate GARCH models is estimated and its empirical validity is compared from the calculation of the Value at Risk. Data used are the daily returns of the nominal exchange rate of the Colombian peso vis-a-vis the American dollar, euro, sterling and Japanese yen for the period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014220508
In this paper we test for the existence of long memory and structural breaks in the realized variance process for the DM/US$ and Yen/US$ exchange rates. While long memory is evident in the actual processes, a structural break analysis reveals that this feature is partially explained by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014061985
Recent general equilibrium models prescribe predictable dynamics in the volatility surfaces that are implied by … volatilities from over-the-counter options on eight different currencies, quoted against the Euro. We examine implied volatility … volatility trading strategies in the absence of transaction costs. Comparing across competing models, our results suggest that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066121
The implied volatility of any stock market can be used in order to measure the future expectations of risk and returns … great importance to examine the implied volatility of the Greek stock market and measure its' relevance with the implied … volatility of the German stock market. The reason that these stock markets have been selected relies on the fact that the German …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024994
the dynamic spillover of return and volatility between oil and equities in the Gulf Cooperation Council Countries during … the period 2004 to 2012. Our results indicate that return and volatility transmissions are bi-directional, albeit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010616851
Measuring and modeling financial volatility is the key to derivative pricing, asset allocation and risk management. The … the daily or lower frequency volatility can be obtained by summing over squared high-frequency returns. In turn, this so …{called realized volatility can be used for more accurate model evaluation and description of the dynamic and distributional structure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005860514
Measuring and modeling financial volatility is the key to derivative pricing, asset allocation and risk management … the daily or lower frequency volatility can be obtained by summing over squared high-frequency returns.In turn, this so …-called realized volatility can be used for more accurate model evaluation and description of the dynamic and distributional structure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274148
We propose a flexible GARCH-type model for the prediction of volatility in financial time series. The approach relies … computationally attractive and feasible for large dimensions. We demonstrate its strong predictive potential for financial volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005797706
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012804074
This paper provides empirical evidence that combinations of option implied and time series volatility forecasts that … application is for volatility forecasts of the Mexican Peso-US Dollar exchange rate, where realized volatility calculated using … intra-day data is used as a proxy for the (latent) daily volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322599