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In this paper we propose the optimum weighting scheme for pricing American options under a local volatility model …. American options are priced under the constant elasticity of variance volatility model using Monte Carlo simulation. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018846
An accurate weather forecast is the basis for the valuation of weather derivatives, securities that partially compensate for financial losses to holders in case of, from their perspective, adverse outside temperature. The paper analyses precision of two forecast models of average daily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012264990
We present a computationally tractable method for simulating arbitrage free implied volatility surfaces. We illustrate … how our method may be combined with a factor model for the implied volatility surface to generate dynamic scenarios for … arbitrage-free implied volatility surfaces. Our approach conciliates static arbitrage constraints with a realistic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014258455
virtually any stochastic volatility model model can be approximated arbitrarily well by a carefully chosen continuous time … illustrates these contributions of the paper, estimating a stochastic volatility jump diffusion model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014099175
Using a Markov switching model applied to the VIX and VDAX implied volatility indexes, we find that the volatility of … years. We also show that there has been a structural change in the stock index volatility vs returns relationship …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014050334
The article investigates the use of adaptive learning algorithms in constructing dynamic portfolios replicating the return characteristics of a given hedge fund. The emphasis is on out of sample conditional predictive capabilites as necessary to serve as a valuable risk management tool, rather...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012737991
covariance estimates are crude, inverse volatility weighted portfolios are more robust, followed by the machine learning based … diversification portfolio, while it is not as robust as the inverse volatility weighed portfolio. We also study the impact of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869673
Financial analysts assume that the reliability of predictions derived from regression analysis improves with sample size. This is generally true because larger samples tend to produce less noisy results than smaller samples. But this is not always the case. Some observations are more relevant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225139
This thesis consists of four self-contained papers related to banking, credit markets and financial stability. Paper [I] presents a credit market model and finds, using an agent based modeling approach, that credit crunches have a tendency to occur; even when credit markets are almost entirely...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010538873
This study sheds new light on the question of whether or not sentiment surveys, and the expectations derived from them, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to macroeconomic and financial data. I examine 16...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647399