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Changes in net positions of foreign and local investors in the forward market may have differential effects on the spot exchange rate. This paper assesses the role of different sectors in the derivatives market and their potential impact with other fundamentals on the spot exchange rate in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014335504
. Because these events may have been "priced into" exchange rates or increased these rates' volatility, connections between … nominal and real effective exchange rates, both in log changes and as a GARCH-based volatility measure, show whether regimes … exchange-rate returns and volatility do not match those of trade balances, and correlations between returns and trade balances …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014324856
targets on public companies' stock price returns and volatility. We find no evidence that committing or setting a target … yields higher returns but contributes to a reduction in price volatility, albeit the impact is short-lived. In view of these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014438864
Range-based volatility estimators are analyzed in both daily and intraday sampling frequency and are also compared to … the realized volatility estimator. The family of realized range-based estimators is extended as three range …-based estimators are also compared in terms of the proper-ties of the jump components of volatility. Moreover, the relevanteffects of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013029272
This paper explores the characteristics associated with the formation of bubbles that occurred in the Hong Kong stock market in 1997 and 2007, as well as the 2000 dot-com bubble of Nasdaq. It examines the profitability of Technical Analysis (TA) strategies generating buy and sell signals with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326340
autoregression, we derive return and volatility spillover indices over the rolling sub-sample windows. We show that there is … substantial difference between the behavior of the East Asian return and volatility spillover indices over time. While the return … spillover index reveals increased integration among the East Asian equity markets, the volatility spillover index experiences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277265
more foreign assets, as predicted by the theory. Despite the positive effects of beta, a country's idiosyncratic volatility …, but also future consumption growth. High-volatility countries have worse net foreign asset positions, suggesting that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003715562
We study the forecasting of future realized volatility in the foreign exchange, stock, and bond markets from variables … in the information set, including implied volatility backed out from option prices. Realized volatility is separated into … its continuous and jump components, and the heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model is applied with implied volatility as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003762693
autoregressive processes revealing time-varying stochastic volatility. The factor volatilities capture risk inherent to the term … additional determinants of future excess returns. Finally, we illustrate that the yield and volatility factors are closely con … ; yield curve risk ; stochastic volatility ; factor models ; macroeconomic fundamentals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003770770
We study the relation between realized and implied volatility in the bond market. Realized volatility is constructed … from high-frequency (5-minute) returns on 30 year Treasury bond futures. Implied volatility is backed out from prices of … associated bond options. Recent nonparametric statistical techniques are used to separate realized volatility into its continuous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003795294