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There has recently been considerable interest in the potential adverse effects associated with excessive uncertainty in energy futures markets. Theoretical models of investment under uncertainty predict that increased uncertainty will tend to induce firms to delay production and investment....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133512
In this paper I test for and model volatility jumps for the General Index (GD) of the Athens Stock Exchange (ASE …-of-the-art realized volatility estimators which I then use in testing and modeling for volatility jumps in the General Index of the ASE … volatility which are then used in modeling realized volatility with the class of Heterogeneous Autoregressive (HAR) models. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134236
Anderson (1976) was the first to give a non-standard construction of a Brownian motion. His approach was to use the binomial model in a discrete time with infinitesimal time steps. Pricing an option in a model similar to the Black-Scholes model with the nonstandard Brownian motion can be done by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136349
It is difficult to predict stock market returns but relatively easy to predict market volatility. But volatility … produces a formula in which returns become a function of volatility and therefore become somewhat more predictable. We show … strategy also smooths out volatility variation over time, reduces the kurtosis of daily returns, reduces maximum drawdown, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138918
In this paper we analyze the relationship between volatility in index futures markets and the number of open and closed … positions. We observe that, in general both positions are positively correlated with contemporaneous volatility, and the … that day-traders are not associated to an increment of volatility, whereas uninformed traders, both opening and closing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113557
-wide volatility. A vocal set of market participants insist that LETF-related trading causes excess volatility and manipulates prices … stocks, increases their volatility, and that some of this impact is reversed in the first hour of the next day. The impact is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115457
volatility surfaces. The parameters of this model are directly linked to measurable and observable market risks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116347
We introduce a class of nonparametric spot volatility estimators based on delta sequences and conceived to include many …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116947
specific reasons for the existence of this phenomenon. This paper aims to study the holiday effect in returns and volatility of … with higher volatility during pre-holiday periods. Furthermore, it examines whether the holiday effect depends on the … employed to capture the volatility clustering nature of the stock market. Out of the three GARCH models considered, EGARCH (1 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120010
We formulate a bivariate stochastic volatility jump-diffusion model with correlated jumps and volatilities. An MCMC … stock (PX index) returns. Four bivariate models with and without jumps and/or stochastic volatility are compared using the … deviance information criterion (DIC) confirming importance of incorporation of jumps and stochastic volatility into the model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121407