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to intermediate bond markets, as in March 2020. Although yield volatility explains most of the variation in Treasury … than predicted by yield volatility alone. This is consistent with the existence of occasionally binding constraints on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014393396
We attempt to explain stock market dynamics in terms of the interaction among three variables: market price, investor opinion and information flow. We propose a framework for such interaction and apply it to build a model of stock market dynamics which we study both empirically and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108097
We study measures of foreign exchange rate volatility based on high-frequency (5-minute) $/DM exchange rate returns … using recent nonparametric statistical techniques to compute realized return volatility and its separate continuous sample … implied volatility. We find that implied volatility is an informationally efficient but biased forecast of future realized …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290348
realized volatility. The jump component has very different time series properties than the continuous component, and accounting … for this allows improved forecasting of future realized volatility. We investigate the potential forecasting role of … implied volatility backed out from option prices in the presence of these new separate realized volatility components. We show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290416
liquid instrument suffers from liquidity shocks that induce periods of increased volatility and significant return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011496054
volatility across different time scales. We call this property asymmetric vertical dependence. It is asymmetric in the sense that … a low volatility state (regime) at a long time horizon is most likely followed by low volatility states at shorter time … horizons. On the other hand, a high volatility state at long time horizons does not necessarily imply a high volatility state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005329008
A time-changing volatility binomial tree to price European options is presented followed by an algorithm explaining how …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009323641
Current practice largely follows restrictive approaches to market risk measurement, such as historical simulation or RiskMetrics. In contrast, we propose flexible methods that exploit recent developments in financial econometrics and are likely to produce more accurate risk assessments, treating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009350247
liquid instrument suffers from liquidity shocks that induce periods of increased volatility and significant return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005169577
asset pricing framework. The dependence between price movements and future volatility is introduced through a set of latent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005486770