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traders and cash triggers bubbles ("inflow-effect"). (ii) In treatments with trader and cash inflow only in the first half of … bubbles in almost all of the 24 markets with trader inflow. The analysis of traders' beliefs reveals that (iii) despite … motive only among the optimists in treatments where we observe bubbles. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010402768
For the past two decades a market model introduced by Smith, Suchanek, and Williams (1988, henceforth SSW) has dominated experimental research on financial markets. In SSW the fundamental value of the traded asset is determined by the expected value of a finite stream of dividend payments. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009736637
The paper develops a model of bubbles that can be taken to the data and explain the behavior of asset prices and their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014089226
We study the emergence of bubbles in a laboratory experiment with large groups of individuals. The realized price is … findings are: (i) large asset bubbles occur in large groups, (ii) information contagion through news affects behaviour and may … and crashes, and (iv) bubbles are strongly amplified by coordination on trend-extrapolation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892070
depends on a time-scale. We use this hitherto neglected aspect to propose a new definition of bubbles that does not rely on …, bubbles are a violation of market efficiency with respect to its time-scale …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012942063
We propose an extension of the class of rational expectations bubbles (REBs) to the more general rational beliefs … beliefs can thus account for speculative bubbles, without the need for irrational agents or limits to arbitrage. Many of the … shortcomings of REBs that make rational bubbles implausible can be overcome once we relax the ergodicity requirement. In particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919580
We propose an extension of the class of rational expectations bubbles (REBs) to the more general rational beliefs … beliefs can thus account for speculative bubbles, without the need for irrational agents or limits to arbitrage. Many of the … shortcomings of REBs that make rational bubbles implausible can be overcome once we relax the ergodicity requirement. In particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181099
". We observe both stable markets and large bubbles for both small and large markets. The data analysis shows no differences … successfully drives prices back towards the fundamental, but we observe very large bubbles in which the news apparently has no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011979625
bubbles is also tackled. In the first part, we prove the equilibrium existence in a truncated bounded economy through a fixed … part, we show the impossibility of bubbles in a productive economy and we give sufficient conditions for equilibrium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110899
This paper proposes a new double-question survey method that elicits information about how individuals.subjective belief valuations are compared and related to their price expectations. An individual respondent is presented with two sets of questions, one that asks about his/her belief regarding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011586267