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This paper evaluates how different types of speculation affect the volatility of commodities' futures prices. We adopt … four indexes of speculation: Working's T, the market share of non-commercial traders, the percentage of net long … speculators over total open interest in future markets, which proxy for long term speculation, and scalping, which proxies for …
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This paper evaluates how different types of speculation affect the volatility of commodities' futures prices. We adopt … four indexes of speculation: Working's T, the market share of non-commercial traders, the percentage of net long … speculators over total open interest in future markets, which proxy for long term speculation, and scalping, which proxies for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081164
Motivated by repeated price spikes and crashes over the last decade, we investigate whether the rapidly growing market shares of futures speculators have destabilized commodity spot prices. We approximate conditional volatility and regress it on expected and unexpected speculative open interest....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112917
This paper tests the hypothesis that long-short speculators are able to generate short-term investment returns based on their sentiment for twelve agricultural commodity futures. For this purpose, we dynamically model the equidirectional trading of long and short commodity futures of long-short...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012818066