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Monetary policy moves the yield curve. How much is due to expected interest rates vs. term premia? And does it matter for macroeconomic outcomes? Using an affine term structure model, we shed new light on these questions. Estimation is subject to restrictions addressing an estimation bias in...
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This paper studies the synchronization of financial cycles across 17 advanced economies over the past 150 years. The comovement in credit, house prices, and equity prices has reached historical highs in the past three decades. The sharp increase in the comovement of global equity markets is...
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This paper studies monetary policy transmission mechanisms during QE. Using high frequency yield curve event studies of monetary policy announcements in combination with a dynamic term structure model, we can identify four types of monetary policy surprises: action, signalling (working through...
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We analyze the impact of market liquidity on bank lending in the euro area for different segments over the period 2003 … to 2016. Our results on the aggregate level show that market liquidity is positively related to loan volumes and … liquidity has an asymmetric effect on bank lending: The negative impact of a reduction in liquidity is more significant than the …
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