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This paper offers a simple but powerful model of wishful thinking, cognitive dissonance, and related biases. Choices maximize subjective expected utility, but beliefs depend on the decision maker's interests as well as on relevant information. Simplifying assumptions yield a representation in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854562
This article reviews the investment policy in transport infrastructures carried out in the last decade and the foreseen actions in the Strategic Plan of Transport Infrastructure. It has been put forward, in the current situation, with higher infrastructure endowment levels and with superior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854721
Firms in Africa report "regulatory and economic policy uncertainty" as a top constraint to their growth. We argue that often firms in Africa do not cope with policy rules, rather they face deals; firm-specific policy actions that can be influenced by firm actions (e.g. bribes) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854754
In R&D-driven growth models with asymmetric fundamentals the steady-state equilibrium R&D investments are industry-specifc and they are such that R&D returns are equalized across industries. Return equalization, however, makes investors indifferent as to where to target research and, hence, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854762
The explanation of investment behaviour in the light of expected utility it meant an important step in the substantiation of the theory regarding investment portofolio. It was demonstrated that the linear form of utility function excludes certain decisive decisions (Allais’s paradox), so that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008854823
Managing risks become a very challenging task for any organization and one of its priorities. The rising complexity of modern business processes, the globalization and the IT business perspective determined important changes in making business approach bringing opportunities but also increasing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008855012
During the last 20 years, Romania has been passing important social and economic transformations and it is considered today as a developing country aiming to adjust its processes and features to those of UE countries. The significant increase in the number of bachelor programs supplied by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008855072
We provide possibility results on the aggregation of beliefs and tastes for Monotone, Bernoullian and Archimedian preferences of Cerreia-Vioglio, Ghirardato, Maccheroni, Marinacci, and Siniscalchi (2011). We propose a new axiom, Unambiguous Pareto Dominance, which requires that if the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010890893
The paper reports the result of an experimental game on asset integration and risk taking. We find evidence that winnings in earlier rounds affect risk taking in subsequent rounds, but no evidence that real life wealth outside the experiment affects risk taking. We and some evidence of imitation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010890956
We analyze lottery-choice data in a way that separately estimates the effects of risk aversion and complexity aversion, and allows both both of these to vary between individuals, and also to change with experience. The data is from an experiment in which 80 subjects engage in a sequence of 54...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010890957