We propose optimal mean-variance dynamic hedging strategies in discrete time under a multivariate Gaussian regime-switching model. The methodology, which also performs pricing, is robust to time-varying and clustering risk observed in financial time series. As such, it overcomes the main...

In this paper we solve the discrete time mean-variance hedging problem when asset returns follow a multivariate autoregressive hidden Markov model. Time dependent volatility and serial dependence are well established properties of financial time series and our model covers both. To illustrate...

In this paper we introduce two new Hawkes processes, namely, compound and regime-switching compound Hawkes processes, to model the price processes in limit order books. We prove Law of Large Numbers and Functional Central Limit Theorems (FCLT) for both processes. The two FCLTs are applied to...

Trying to perform non-parametric change point tests for multivariate data using empirical processes is much more difficult that in the univariate case, since the limiting distribution depends on the unknown joint distribution function or its associated copula. In order to solve this problem, we...

In this paper, we focus on a new generalization of multivariate general compound Hawkes process (MGCHP), which we referred to as the multivariate general compound point process (MGCPP). Namely, we applied a multivariate point process to model the order flow instead of the Hawkes process. Law of...

Parrondo's paradox is extended to regime switching random walks in random environments. The paradoxical behavior of the resulting random walk is explained by the effect of the random environment. Full characterization of the asymptotic behavior is achieved in terms of the dimensions of some...

We find the variance-optimal equivalent martingale measure when multivariate assets are modeled by a regime-switching geometric Brownian motion, and the regimes are represented by a homogeneous continuous time Markov chain. Under this new measure, the Markov chain driving the regimes is no...

In this paper we build a discrete time model for the structure of the limit order book, so that the price per share depends on the size of the transaction. We deduce the value of a portfolio when the investor trades using market orders and a bank account with different interest rates for lending...

In this paper, we implement a multi-variate extension of Dybvig (1988) Payoff Distribution Model that can be used to replicate not only the marginal distribution of most hedge fund returns but also their dependence with other asset classes. In addition to proposing ways to overcome the hedging...

In this paper we present a forecasting method for time series using copula-based models for multivariate time series. We study how the performance of the predictions evolve when changing the strength of the different possible dependencies, as well as the structure of the dependence. We also look...