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We investigate the impact of information trading on predicting variation of implied volatility. First, we find that … informed traders do trade in the index options market. The predicting biases of implied volatilities on the realized volatility … with the predicting variations in implied volatilities. Moreover, the difference between realized and implied volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017261
This paper investigates the predictive content of the VIX options trading volume for the future dynamics of the underlying VIX index. Using a novel dataset from the Chicago Board Options Exchange, we calculate the put-call ratio based on the VIX option volume initiated by buyers to open new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013310312
The implied volatility of any stock market can be used in order to measure the future expectations of risk and returns … great importance to examine the implied volatility of the Greek stock market and measure its' relevance with the implied … volatility of the German stock market. The reason that these stock markets have been selected relies on the fact that the German …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024994
In this financial engineering research, we study the behaviour of an option premium of a call/put option which is embedded in a typical fixed coupon bond with finite maturity. The contribution of the research is the conclusion about the dynamics of premium changes; represented by direction and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012019232
We comprehensively analyze the predictive power of several option implied variables for monthly S & P 500 excess returns and realized variance. The correlation risk premium (CRP) emerges as a strong predictor of both excess returns and realized variance. This is true both in- and out-of-sample....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011751188
volatility and investment horizon. The empirical PKs turn out to be U-shaped for short-dated instruments and W-shaped for long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235978
The information content of option implied volatility and realized volatility under market imperfections are studied in … the context of GARCH modeling and volatility forecasts of Taiwan stock market (TAIEX) returns. Consistent with most … studies, we find that the Taiwan implied volatility index (TVIX) calculated from the TAIEX option prices contains most of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014220367
premium. Volatility decreases the options-leverage of equity, which decreases expected return. At the same time, volatility … increases value for equities with options features and, thus, it increases market/book. Because volatility has opposite impacts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034933
This research considers the strategies on the initial public offering of company equity at the stock exchanges in the imperfect highly volatile global capital markets with the nonlinearities. We provide the IPO definition and compare the initial listing requirements on the various markets. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026463
This paper investigates the intertemporal relation between volatility spreads and expected returns on the aggregate … stock market. We provide evidence for a signi ficantly negative link between volatility spreads and expected returns at the … extreme values. The intertemporal relation remains strongly negative after controlling for conditional volatility, variance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038211