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We make the first attempt in the literature to empirically examine the spillover effects of U.S. monetary policy on trade in other countries. In a large sector-level bilateral trade dataset of 137 countries for the years 1970-2000, we find strong and robust evidence supporting an international...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013024617
This working paper evaluates the economic sources of the stock market responses of 40 countries to surprises in the fed funds rate (FFR), the Fed's forward guidance (FG) and large-scale asset purchases (LSAP). We decompose stock market returns into different components reflecting investors'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012520011
This paper aims to shed light on the role mean and volatility spillovers of U.S. monetary policy played for asset markets of several emerging market economies in a period from January 2000 to October 2014. We employ multi-variate GARCH models in which we distinguish between a conventional and an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011672704
We examine the role of U.S. monetary policy in global financial stability by using a cross-country database spanning the period from 1870-2010 across 69 countries. U.S. monetary policy tightening increases the probability of banking crises for those countries with direct linkages to the U.S.,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181191
Monetary policy shocks have a large impact on stock prices during narrow time windows centered around press releases by the FOMC. We use spatial autoregressions to decompose the overall effect of monetary policy shocks into a direct effect and a network effect. We attribute 50 to 85 percent of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011770624
This paper investigates the risk channel of monetary policy through banks' lending standards. We modify the classic costly state verification (CSV) problem by introducing a risk-neutral monopolistic bank, which maximizes profits subject to borrower participation. While the bank can diversify...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011803796
Monetary policy shocks have a large impact on aggregate stock market returns in narrow event windows around press releases by the Federal Open Market Committee. We use spatial autoregressions to decompose the overall effect of monetary policy shocks into a direct (demand) effect and an indirect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011657891
We study international spillover effects of US monetary policy. We use monthly panel data from fifteen major emerging market economies (EMEs), in a period where the countries have a flexible exchange rate regime and are integrated into global financial markets. We show that US monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950741
Using local projection and event studies, I investigate the non-linear effects of US monetary policy shocks on financial asset prices in five advanced economies–Australia, Canada, New Zealand, South Korea, and the United Kingdom–from 1990 to 2014. The international asset prices show evidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012863735
We propose a model where monetary policy is the key determinant of aggregate asset prices (financial conditions). Spending decisions are made by a group of agents ("households") that respond to aggregate asset prices, but with noise, delays, and inertia. Asset pricing is determined by a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013334351