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Past literature has shown that continuous time affine credit risk pricing models have appealing counterparts in discrete time, namely ARG and VARG0 models based on autoregressive Gamma processes that need no Feller conditions. This paper clarifies that ARG and VARG0 models are part of a wider...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350555
In this study, we use a factor model in order to decompose sovereign Credit Default Swaps (CDS) spreads into default, liquidity, systematic liquidity and correlation components. By calibrating the model to sovereign CDSs and bonds we are able to present a better decomposition and a more accurate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091389
constrained governments. Supporting the fiscal channel, we confirm the results for Eurozone countries and U.S. states, for which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832689
In this paper we examine sovereign bond yield spread (BYS) spillovers between Euro zone countries during a turbulent period encompassing both the global financial crisis and the Euro zone debt crisis. Using the VAR-based spillover index approach of Diebold and Yilmaz (2012) and impulse response...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058578
In this paper, I show that a sizable component of emerging market sovereign yield spreads is due to factors other than default risk such as liquidity. I estimate the non-default component of the yield spreads as the basis between the actual credit default swap (CDS) premium and the hypothetical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906256
The paper considers a no-arbitrage setting for pricing and relative value analysis of risky sovereign bonds. The typical case of an emerging market country (EM) that has bonds outstanding both in foreign hard currency (Eurobonds) and local soft currency (treasuries) is inspected. The resulting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937615
The paper investigates the risky sovereign spreads and the CDS-Bond basis of a country following a fixed exchange rate under a Currency Board Arrangement (CBA). The particular monetary regime affects significantly the mechanics of the bond market and needs a special investigation. We start by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036782
In this study, we focus on the dynamic properties of the risk-neutral liquidity risk premium specific to the sovereign credit default swap (CDS) and bond markets. We show that liquidity risk has a non-trivial role and participates directly to the variation over time of the term structure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063132
This paper looks into the sovereign credit default swap (CDS) market from two perspectives. First, it analyses the relation between CDS and bond spreads. The results on a single-entity basis suggest that the CDS market leads the bond market in price discovery, especially during 2010, while both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118358
In this paper we develop empirical measures for the strength of spillover effects. Modifying and extending the framework by Diebold and Yilmaz (2011), we quantify spillovers between sovereign credit markets and banks in the euro area. Spillovers are estimated recursively from a vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009634313