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Time-Change Risks and the Aggregate Stock Market Behavior

Marfè, Roberto - 2011

This paper investigates how the investors responses to the evolution of uncertainty affect equilibrium asset returns. I develop a discrete-time real endowment economy where the aggregate economic uncertainty, as detected by a time-change for the endowment process, alters the perceived utility...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131562

Wealth Inequality, Stock Market Participation, and the Equity Premium

Favilukis, Jack Y - 2012

The last 30 years saw substantial increases in wealth inequality and in stock market participation, smaller increases in consumption inequality and the fraction of indebted households, a decline in interest rates and in the expected equity premium, as well as a prolonged stock market boom....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013098361

Consumption-Based Asset Pricing with Herd Behavior

Curatola, Giuliano - 2012

This paper analyzes the link between herd behavior and asset prices in a multi-good pure-exchange economy where investors' preferences evolve over time in response to the consumption decisions of other investors. More precisely, the rule of updating preferences incorporates a bandwagon effect,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105266

Equities (Still) for the Long Run : A New Look at the Future Equity Premium

Crook, Michael - 2019

The equity premium is a well-known and well-explored artifact of financial economics. However, relatively poor equity performance over the last decade leaves many investors questioning the persistence of the equity premium into the future. The lack of a relatively simple forward-looking equity...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905498

Cross-sectional returns with volatility regimes from a diverse portfolio of emerging and developed equity indices

Sakowski, Paweł; Ślepaczuk, Robert; Wywiał, Mateusz - In: E-Finanse : finansowy kwartalnik internetowy 12 (2016) 2, pp. 23-35

This article aims to extend evaluation of the classic multifactor model of Carhart (1997) for the case of global equity indices and to expand analysis performed in Sakowski et. al. (2015). Our intention is to test several modifications of these models to take into account different dynamics of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011539896

Volatility Spreads and Expected Stock Returns

Bali, Turan G. - 2012

This paper investigates whether realized and implied volatilities of individual stocks can predict the cross-sectional variation in expected returns. Although the levels of volatilities from the physical and risk-neutral distributions cannot predict future returns, there is a significant...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116882

Predicting Premiums for the Market, Size, Value, and Momentum Factors

Steiner, Michael - 2009

This paper studies the out-of-sample predictability of the monthly market as well as size, value, and momentum premiums. We use a sample from each the US and the Swiss stock market between 1989 and 2007. Our Swiss sample provides an important new perspective as the repeated evaluation of the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013155991

Behavioral Finance - Asset Prices Predictability, Equity Premium Puzzle, Volatility Puzzle : The Rational Finance Approach

Rachev, Svetlozar T. - 2020

In this paper we address three main objections of behavioral finance to the theory of rational finance, considered as … “anomalies” the theory of rational finance cannot explain: (i) Predictability of asset returns; (ii) The Equity Premium; (iii … are the only possible explanations of the “anomalies”, but offer statistical models within the rational theory of finance …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842392

Macroeconomic Disasters and the Equity Premium Puzzle : Are Emerging Countries Riskier?

Horvath, Jaroslav - 2019

Not necessarily. I provide evidence that advanced countries' equity premium and consumption growth differ significantly from those of emerging countries. I then estimate distinct disaster risk parameters for these two country groups. My Bayesian analysis demonstrates that in some aspects...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902819

Performance Persistence of Government Bond Factor Premia

Zaremba, Adam - 2019

This study investigates the momentum effect in factor premia in international government bond markets. The investigations are based on a range of fixed-income factor strategies related to volatility, credit risk, value, and momentum that are tested in a sample of data from 25 countries for the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893043