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We show that idiosyncratic jumps are a key determinant of mean stock returns from both an ex post and ex ante perspective. Ex post, the entire annual average return of a typical stock accrues on the four days on which its stock price jumps. Ex ante, idiosyncratic jump risk earns a premium: a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967984
-monotonically decreasing return pricing kernels and u-shaped volatility pricing kernels. Based on the non-parametric estimates, a parametric … option pricing model that matches the stylized facts in the return and volatility dimension is proposed. Moreover, it is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979223
We examine both theoretically and empirically whether increased trading activity in index futures and exchange traded funds (ETFs) is associated with higher equity return correlations. Our model predicts that demand shocks to ETFs and futures lead to stronger price comovement for index stocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004525
increase in the idiosyncratic volatility of the underlying stock. This result can not be explained by standard risk factors. It … is distinct from existing anomalies in the stock market or volatility-related option mispricing. It is consistent with … idiosyncratic volatility stocks due to their higher arbitrage costs. Controlling for limits to arbitrage proxies reduces the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008680
This paper estimates the term-structure of volatility risk premia for the stock market. Realized variance term premia … are increasing in systematic risk and predict variance swap returns. Implied volatility term premia are decreasing in risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851215
-sectional analysis is robust to the inclusion of uncertainty indexes, as well as macroeconomic and volatility measures …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851891
We compare the performance of two volatility scaling methods in momentum strategies: (i) the constant volatility … scaling approach of Barroso and Santa-Clara (2015), and (ii) the dynamic volatility scaling method of Daniel and Moskowitz … strategy based on the constant volatility scaling method is the most efficient approach with an annual return of 15.3% …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853381
We show that at-the-money implied volatility of options on futures of 5-year Treasury notes (Treasury ‘yield implied … volatility') predicts both the growth rate and volatility of gross domestic product, as well as of other macroeconomic variables …, credit spread, stock returns, stock market implied volatility, and several other variables that prior literature showed to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854000
The option implied volatility spread and skew predict stock returns. These variables also reflect the expected cost of … stock returns; however, the volatility spread and skew do not once this implied fee is considered. Results are similar for a … yet in stock prices. These findings indicate that the volatility spread and skew predict returns because they proxy for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855076
This paper shows that the risk-bearing capacity of U.S. securities brokers and dealers is a strong determinant of risk premia in commodity markets. Commodity derivatives are the principal instrument used by producers and consumers of commodities to hedge against commodity price risk....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857609