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reputation of central banks. Thus, central banks should not try to bring inflation back to the targeted level of 2%. Rather, they …Inflation in advanced economies is low by historical standards but there is no threat of deflation. Slower economic … growth is caused by supply-side constraints rather than low inflation. Below-the-target inflation does not damage the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230450
We explain the role of the Phillips Curve in the analysis of the economic outlook and the formulation of monetary policy at the ECB. First, revisiting the structural Phillips Curve, we highlight the challenges in recovering structural parameters from reduced-form estimates and relate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012212851
This paper argues that, with a flat Phillips curve, welfare can be improved if the Central Bank stabilizes the output gap directly. The pursuit of price stability may, in fact, increase price stickiness, flatten the Phillips curve further, increase the distortions due to sticky prices, and lead...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235795
A pre-test of Ramsey optimal policy versus time-consistent policy rejects time-consistent policy and (optimal) simple rule for the U.S. Fed during 1960 to 2006, assuming the reference new-Keynesian Phillips curve transmission mechanism with auto-correlated cost-push shock. The number of reduced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011597921
Ramsey optimal policy models the persistence of inflation, output gap and federal funds rate without requiring two additional … parameters for inflation indexation and habit persistence. The number of reduced form parameters is larger with Ramsey optimal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011721067
reputation of central banks. Thus, central banks should not try to bring inflation back to the targeted level of 2%. Rather, they …Inflation in advanced economies is low by historical standards but there is no threat of deflation. Slower economic … growth is caused by supply-side constraints rather than low inflation. Below-the-target inflation does not damage the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835734
inflation and inflation uncertainty. Thus, we can test for state-dependence of the Calvo parameter in a straightforward way. To … that a number of shortcomings of empirical NKPC model representations in explaining inflation data may be addressed by … the relation between inflation and marginal costs are considerably reduced in the framework of our more general NKPC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010248231
Since 2000 U.S. inflation has remained both below target and silent to domestic slack and monetary interventions. A … inflation. The trend analysis shows that, starting from the '90s, despite very well-anchored expectations, slow-moving imported … "cost-push" factors induced deflationary pressure keeping trend inflation below target. The cycle block provides evidence in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795587
This chapter examines the concept of inflation persistence in macroeconomic theory. It begins by defining persistence … persistence from the literature on imperfect information models, learning models, and so-called “trend inflation models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025671
We study how domestic and global output gaps affect CPI inflation. We use a New-Keynesian Phillips curve framework …1-2017Q4 period. We find broadly that both global and domestic output gaps are significant drivers of inflation both in … output gaps on inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011929651