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, inflation and unemployment, we detect a wrong sign in the response of inflation to contractionary monetary policy shocks … 1999-2019, when the Federal Funds Rate and the Euro-Dollar exchange rate are added to the VAR model inflation shows … significant unemployment inflation trade-off emerges. These conclusions are confirmed by using industrial production instead of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168711
In this paper we model monthly UK inflation and find that there is some small but significant autocorrelation …, particularly at 12 months. We find that this autocorrelation in monthly inflation leads to significant persistence in the headline … annual inflation figure. A one-off shock to monthly inflation will have an effect on the headline figure equal to 10% of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014491765
, 𝑢𝑡 ∗ , in the aftermath of the pandemic and characterize its implications for inflation dynamics. While the bulk of the … inflation surge is attributed to temporary supply factors, we also find an important role for current and expected negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501075
aggregate inflation and the higher-order moments of the distribution of relative price changes. Our empirical findings confirm … explanatory variable for the inflation rate. Further, the skewness measure also helps to explain shifts in the Phillips curve …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476471
In this study, we provide a comprehensive estimation of the contemporary Phillips curve relationship in the South …/tightness and inflation expectations, contributing to the debate on the relevance of the Phillips curve in South Africa, where … previous findings have been inconclusive. Our analysis reveals that long-run inflation expectations are the primary driver of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014314767
-King, wavelets) as empirical measures of core money. The estimation results uniformly indicate that inflation and core money growth …This paper studies the importance of money for inflation in the euro area. An inflation equation is derived from a … small model that combines the supply and demand for money with a Phillips curve and the assumption that inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295663
The authors solve the IS puzzle for the G7 countries. They find that five of the G7 countries have the expected significant negative relationship between the output gap and the real-rate gap; the time series of the remaining two show material deviation from expected IS-curve behavior. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011917259
relating unemployment and vacancies to inflation, the link between these labor market indicators and inflation depends on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014388878
relating unemployment and vacancies to inflation, the link between these labor market indicators and inflation depends on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014380658
Many economists, including former Fed chairman Ben Bernanke, believe that the gold standard generates poor economic outcomes including output volatility, price instability, financial panics, the spread of recessions via the exchange rate, and speculation-induced collapse. These problems,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904585