Showing 1 - 10 of 180,870
fund's forced trading through investor flows. We conclude that fund managers voluntarily attempt to time risk factors, but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011906504
I decompose the expected return difference between cross-asset time series momentum and time series momentum into … that two recent critiques of time series momentum do not apply to cross-asset time series momentum. Instead, the … outperformance of cross-asset time series momentum is driven specifically by the strategy's ability to exploit cross-asset time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213175
Managed portfolios that exploit positive first-order autocorrelation in monthly excess returns of equity factor portfolios produce large alphas and gains in Sharpe ratios. We document this finding for factor portfolios formed on the broad market, size, value, momentum, investment, profitability,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012588643
We represent risk factors as sums of orthogonal components capturing fluctuations with cycles of different length. The representation leads to novel spectral factor models in which systematic risk is allowed (without being forced) to vary across frequencies. Frequency-specific systematic risk is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851025
This paper shows that the stylized fact of average mutual fund underperformance documented in the literature stems from expansion periods when funds have statistically significant negative risk-adjusted performance and not recession periods when risk-adjusted fund performance is positive. These...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121165
coefficients, volatilities, and covariances should vary over time. When applied to a portfolio of five stock and bond returns, we … relative to a standard no-predictability benchmark, the optimal combination of predictors, stochastic volatility, and time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910552
, including time-series, GRS statistic, and cross-sectional models within and across industries' portfolios. Results indicated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014440925
equity market returns. My main finding is that equity market time-series momentum works well in the middle valuation regimes … sense, the historical extremes of the valuation ratios and the term spread define boundaries for time-series momentum. To …, increases the R2 in a predictive regression of equity market returns by up to 90% and the R2 in a predictive regression of time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013245419
time, admits non-linearities and asymmetries in cycles. The method assumes that output can be represented by a non … place at the time. Finally, the obtained cycles are consistent with the evolution of the Peruvian economy and of recession …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010254293
The Beveridge-Nelson decomposition defines the trend component in terms of the eventual forecast function, as the value the series would take if it were on its long-run path. The paper in-troduces the multistep Beveridge-Nelson decomposition, which arises when the forecast function is obtained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523928