Aggregate implied volatility spread (IVS), defined as the cross-sectional average difference in the implied volatilities of at-the-money call and put equity options, is significantly and positively related to future stock market returns at daily, weekly, monthly, to semiannual horizons. This...

This paper studies whether investor sentiment can predict future Mexican stock market returns. Furthermore, we examine the dynamic correlation between sentiment and returns. Lastly, we examine whether sentiment innovations influence unexpected returns. We find that sentiment has significant...

This paper examines the stock market returns and volatility relationship using US daily returns from May 26, 1952 to September 29, 2006. The empirical evidence reported here does not support the proposition that the return-volatility relationship is present and the same for each day of the week

This paper evaluates the cross comovements of illiquidity between stocks and corporate bonds issued by the same firm employing individual corporate bonds information from TRACE from July 2002 to December 2014. We analyze these relations in both a time series and a cross-sectional framework,...

This paper investigates the performance of a factor-augmented regression (FAR) model with a mixture of stationary and nonstationary factors in stock return prediction. For comparison purpose, we also consider a traditional FAR model with only stationary factors. In an application with a dataset...

Using the long-term wavelet component of monthly S&P 500 excess returns as supervision information, we employ a machine learning method to extract the common predictive information of 14 prevalent macroeconomic variables, and construct a new macroeconomic index aligned for predicting stock...

Using monthly data from 01/1985 to 12/2012, we find that the accounting valuation-based predictor introduced in Lee, Myers, and Swaminathan (1999) has excellent in-sample and out-of-sample predictive performance. Our finding suggests that the accounting valuation-based predictor does not suffer...

The effect of investor sentiment on stock volatility is a highly attractive research question in both the academic field and the real financial industry. With the proposal of China's "dual carbon" target, green stocks have gradually become an essential branch of Chinese stock markets. Focusing...

We investigate the role of the average risk across stocks in predicting subsequent mar- ket returns using measures of risk that capture the higher moments of the return distribution including variance, skewness and kurtosis, as well as measures of tail risk that combine these. We find that...

Purpose: The main aim of this research was to discuss the relationship between the patents and the performance of listed companies, more particularly, to find out whether China patent's claim impacted on China listed company's stock return rate or not. It was because the claim played the most...