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This paper develops methods and framework of economic theory free from general equilibrium tools and assumptions. We model macroeconomics as system of agents those perform transactions with other agents under action of numerous expectations. Agents expectations are formed by economic and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864401
This paper presents a quantitative model of financial transactions between economic agents on economic space. Risk ratings of economic agents play role of their coordinates. Aggregate amounts of agent's financial variables at point x define macro financial variables as functions of time and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012930589
This paper presents business cycle model that is not based on assumptions of general equilibrium framework. We describe economic transactions between agents and assessment of agents risk as ground and tools for business cycle modeling. We treat agents risk ratings x as their coordinates x on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012930761
This paper models price volatility through description of the second-degree transactions and expectations averaged by time interval Δ. We call it - the second-order economic theory. First two price statistical moments define volatility. To model volatility one needs description of the squares...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823723
We show that the price and returns volatilities depend on the first and the second degree of the total values and the total volumes of the transactions aggregated during averaging time interval Δ. We derive expressions that describe price volatility via volatilities of the value and the volume...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012825610
This paper develops economic theory framework free from general equilibrium assumptions. We describe macroeconomics as system of economic agents under action of n risks. Economic and financial variables of agents, their expectations and transactions between agents define macroeconomic variables....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889005
This paper describes asset price and return disturbances as result of relations between transactions and multiple kinds of expectations. We show that disturbances of expectations can cause fluctuations of trade volume, price and return. We model price disturbances for transactions made under all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012894518
This paper describes expectations and Buy-Sell transactions of assets as ground for modeling trading volume and price fluctuations. We study simple model of mutual relations between transactions and expectations and derive economic equations that describe disturbances of asset prices, trading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910802
This paper presents further development of our economic model (see Part I). We describe economic and financial transactions between agents as factors that define evolution of economic variables. We show that change of risk ratings of agents as their coordinates on economic space due to their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012871760
This paper presents applications of our theory to description of particular economic problems. We give all definitions and equations in Part I and II of our work. Here we argue propagation of small perturbations of economic variables and transactions on economic space. We show that small...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869896