Showing 1 - 10 of 184,668
Recent advances in natural language processing have contributed to the development of market sentiment measures through text content analysis in news providers and social media. The effectiveness of these sentiment variables depends on the implemented techniques and the type of source on which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629835
The paper evaluates the out-of-sample predictive potential of machine learning methods in the cross-section of international equity index returns using firm fundamentals and macroeconomic predictors. The relatively small number of equity indices in the cross-section compared to the multitude of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846997
This paper analyses the link between the VDAX as a proxy for European financial uncertainty and the number of terror incidents in Western Europe. Considering data of the Global Terrorism Database, the number of terror incidents does - on average - not affect financial uncertainty. In contrast,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581042
This study reconsiders the role of jumps for volatility forecasting by showing that jumps have a positive and mostly … significant impact on future volatility. This result becomes apparent once volatility is separated into its continuous and … yields) shows that the proposed techniques improve significantly the accuracy of volatility forecasts especially in periods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008729093
"low" and "high" volatility periods. These periods are determined by estimating asset dynamics using a SWARCH process. Our … results suggest that securities volatility is higher during periods of financial or economic instability. We use these results … to evaluate the impact of news during "low" and "high" volatility periods using a GARCH model. News effects, especially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108222
The present study is an attempt to investigate the conditional volatility of returns of the two major segments of …) prices. For studying the spill-over of volatility from a market to another, squared residuals (after standardization) from … presence of conditional volatility of returns. The optimal model was identified as ARCH (1) when Re/$ Exchange Rate was the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242422
volatility index (VIX) via a nonparametric copula method. Specifically, we propose a conditional dependence index to investigate … that the nonparametric leverage effect is much stronger than the nonparametric volatility feedback effect, although, in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011857010
return and volatility spillover between the S&P 500 and 12 Asian stock markets using weekly data from January 2000 to … February 2020. DECO-GARCH models are employed to measure volatility transmission between markets. A generalized VAR, variance … the interdependence of the conditional returns, conditional volatility, and conditional correlations between the stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014500629
In this paper we focus on analyzing the predictive accuracy of three different types of forecasting techniques, Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Artificial Neural Network (ANN), and Singular Spectral Analysis (SSA), used for predicting chaotic time series data. These techniques...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947889
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012511230