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The present paper investigates whether Greek gasoline prices respond symmetrically to changes in international oil prices. The study uses all available observations and applies the TAR (Threshold Auto-Regressive) methodology, which is considered to be the most reliable econometric technique...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014080205
Despite the fact that receipts from the provision of shipping services recorded on the Greek Balance of Payments represent nearly half of the total receipts of services rendered, the factors that determine them have not been explored for the Greek economy. Therefore, the main purpose of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014080221
This note reviews the recent relevant literature and provides empirical evidence that fluctuations of the international price of oil have a significant impact on the Greek economic activity and inflation. In particular, the main conclusions that emerge from the literature review are the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014096111
An essential dilemma in economics that has yielded ambiguous answers is whether governments should spend more in recessions. This paper provides an extension of the work of Ramey & Zubairy (2018) for the US economy according to which the government spending multipliers are below unity,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081921
This study evaluates oil price forecasts based on their economic significance for macroeconomic predictions. More specifically, we first use the current state-of-the-art frameworks to forecast monthly oil prices and subsequently we use these forecasts, as oil price assumptions, to predict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081992
An error correction framework with non-linear adjustment is used to investigate the presence of asymmetries in the adjustment of deposit and lending rates and to changes in interbank rates. There is evidence of asymmetric adjustment for a number of countries, but there are no asymmetries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014082199
We link senior banks loan officers’ responses regarding their decisions for bank credit standards, from successive surveys from the European Bank Lending Survey to investigate two important issues. First, we examine the relationship between bank credit standards (CS) and perceived and actual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013492350
In this study we propose a new determinant of non-performing loans for the case of the Greek banking sector. We employ aggregate yearly data for the period 1996-2016 and we conduct a Principal Component Analysis for all the Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) for Greece, aiming to isolate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013492496
This paper is an exercise in applied macroeconomic forecasting. We examine the forecasting power of a vector error-correction model (VECM) that is anchored by a long-run equilibrium relationship between Greek national income and productive public expenditure as suggested by the economic theory....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306082
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014316946